中國時報 7月20日《2020總統大選特別報導》無論怎麼選 韓民調領先群雄China Times, July 20, "Special Report on the 2020 Presidential Election"

殷悅哲

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中國時報 7月20日《2020總統大選特別報導》無論怎麼選 韓民調領先群雄
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趙婉淳、實習記者殷悅哲/台北報導 2020總統大選進入倒數半年,藍綠兩黨候選人皆已就位,根據「品觀點」最新民調顯示,高雄市長韓國瑜不管在藍綠對戰、三腳督對決,甚至四方競逐下,都領先群雄,可望得到3至4成的支持度,大贏蔡英文總統6至12%,未來蔡勢必面臨一場連任苦戰。另外,有過半民眾不支持郭台銘脫黨參選,且也不支持「郭柯配」或「柯郭配」角逐2020。 新媒體「品觀點」昨天發布最新民調顯示,藍綠對戰,韓國瑜擁41.1%支持度,蔡英文有33.7%,兩人相差7.4%。若是「蔡、韓、柯」三腳督,韓的支持度略降為36.4%,蔡有24.2%,柯為24.8%,韓、蔡差距拉大為12.2%,不過,柯、蔡支持度旗鼓相當。 若為「蔡、韓、郭」三方對決,韓國瑜被郭台銘吸走部分選票後為33.2%,蔡擁27.1%、郭獲25.9%。假使「蔡、韓、柯、郭」四方競逐,韓仍以32.3%領先群雄,依序為蔡22.1%、郭18.4%、柯16.4%。 前鴻海董事長郭台銘自初選結果揭曉後未曾露面,僅發布聲明恭喜韓國瑜勝出,強調自己對中華民國的熱愛永不改變,郭的幕僚劉宥彤則稱脫黨是假議題,未和柯陣營聯繫。民調指出,53.5%民眾不支持郭台銘脫黨參選,僅26.8%支持郭台銘與柯文哲攜手出征2020。 另外,發起罷免韓國瑜的公民割草行動、「Wecare高雄」日前宣布罷韓連署書已突破13萬份。民調顯示,近5成民眾不支持罷免韓國瑜,僅38%表示支持,不過,高雄市民中,支持罷免韓國瑜僅比反對者高1.6%。 對於韓國瑜、柯文哲帶職參選總統的正當性,調查結果顯示,民眾不支持韓、柯帶職參選的比例為51.2%、49.7%,且有46%、47.5%民眾認為韓、柯應主動請辭市長一職再參選2020。 此民調是委託全方位民調中心於7月16日至17日進行市話調查,以年滿20歲以上民眾為調查對象,有效樣本為1084份,在95%信心水準下,抽樣誤差在±2.98%以內。 - 中時電子報連結:https://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20190720000493-260118?chdtv
Zhao Wei, intern reporter Yin Yuezhe / Taipei report In the last six months of the 2020 presidential election, the blue and green candidates have all been in place. According to the latest polls of the "product point of view", the Kaohsiung mayor, South Korea, is in the blue-green battle, the three-legged matchup, and even the quartet. Leading the pack, it is expected to get 3 to 40% support, and the winner of Tsai Ing-wen will be 6 to 12%. In the future, Cai will face a battle of re-election. In addition, more than half of the people did not support Guo Taiming's dismissal from the party, and did not support "Guo Kepei" or "Ke Guopei" for 2020. The new media "product point of view" released the latest polls yesterday, blue-green battle, South Korea Yu 41.1% support, Tsai Ing-wen 33.7%, the difference between the two is 7.4%. If it is "Cai, Han, Ke" three-legged supervisor, South Korea's support is slightly down to 36.4%, Cai has 24.2%, Ke is 24.8%, and Han and Cai gap is 12.2%. However, Ke and Cai support are quite similar. . For the "Chua, Han, and Guo" tripartite confrontation, South Korea Yu was 33.2% after Guo Taiming took part of the votes, Cai Jian 27.1%, and Guo won 25.9%. In the case of "Cai, Han, Ke, and Guo" competing, Han still leads the group with 32.3%, followed by Cai 22.1%, Guo 18.4%, and Ke 16.4%. Guo Taiming, the former chairman of Hon Hai, did not show up after the results of the primary election. He only issued a statement congratulating South Korea on winning the game, emphasizing that his love for the Republic of China will never change. Guo’s aide, Liu Wei, said that leaving the party is a false issue and has not contacted the Ke camp. . According to the polls, 53.5% of the population did not support Guo Taiming's off-party election, and only 26.8% supported Guo Taiming and Ke Wenzhe to join hands in 2020. In addition, the "Care Kaohsiung", which initiated the recall of South Korea's Yu, has announced that it has exceeded 130,000 copies. According to the polls, nearly 50% of the population did not support the removal of South Korea's Yu, only 38% expressed support. However, among the Kaohsiung citizens, the support for the removal of Korean Yu was only 1.6% higher than the opponents. As for the legitimacy of South Korea’s Yu and Ke Wenzhe to run for the presidency, the survey results show that the proportion of people who do not support Han and Ke’s participation in the election is 51.2% and 49.7%, and 46% and 47.5% of the people think that Han and Ke Ying I will take the initiative to resign as the mayor and then participate in the 2020. This poll is commissioned by the Omni-directional Polling Center to conduct a local call survey from July 16th to 17th. The survey is conducted for people over the age of 20, and the effective sample is 1084. Under the 95% confidence level, the sampling error is Within ±2.98%. - China Times Newsletter Link: https://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20190720000493-260118?chdtv

September 07, 2019

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